Monday, April 5, 2010

Right fund size ?!

This interesting article from KPMG that talks about the PE industry in India raises a pertinent question. What is the right fund size that marries the market opportunities with the economics of running a fund ? Seems like there is a difference between the perception of LPs and GPs (page 5). If 30% of the LPs want a small fund ($ 100-200 mn) 35% of the LPs want a fund that is in the region of ($ 200-500 mn) (vis-a-vis 20% and 35% for GP, it sure is an interesting combination.


I guess the question that LPs are asking themselves really is that in PPP terms a $ 200 mn fund in India would be the equivalent of a $ 1 bn fund in US (which pre-2007 was fairly common place), a significant size even the world's largest economy, especially if you are focussed on "classical private equity" (unpolished, unlisted companies). That means a $ 100 mn deal size assuming a portfolio of 8-10 companies (which means company revenues of anywhere from $ 50 -250 mn and PAT of $ 20-30 mn) - not pushover numbers in any case.


Dissecting the onion another way, the micro fund category (sub $ 100 mn) seems grossly under represented, given the fact that this is the sweetest spot in terms of risk-reward (get into companies with minimal concept risk but significant execution risk). However, it seems that the jury thinks it is unviable given the bandwith issues involved in managing the portfolio (I think this is an area that will get changed along the lines of the Silicon Valley model - where you could have a roster of operating partners that devote a part of their time to grooming companies thereby reducing the burden on the fund management team).

Given the current circumstances, I would think the ideal size for an economy like India (which is far more broad based, driven primarily by entrepreneurs, not the Government and hence has a larger range of opportunities) ought to be in the region of $ 200-300 mn.- if one were to marry the overheads of fund management with the opportunities available in the market). Of course, this will also depend on the style of investing (preference of size of stake, operational involvement).

Thoughts, any one ?

~Varadha

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